What will happen in 2012?

Line Eikeland · 2011-12-23

Any opinionated persons out there who'll take a bet on:
- United States AAA credit rating to be downgraded?
- Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, what will happen?
- The election in Russia and Kim Jong-un leading North Korea - consequences?

Mr. Smith · 2011-12-27

Eurozone breaks up, which in the medium and long term will be a very good thing.

Lars Millberg · 2011-12-27

I think that The Benche will attract more active members and rocket from todays ~23.000 visitors to ~100.000 monthly visitors.

Visitors that become members and benefiting from the fact that world leading experts are members and start to post questions and comments.

David · 2012-01-05

I think that Kim Jong-un will have difficlulties beating his fathers golf record.

Line Eikeland · 2012-01-06

I believe 2012 will be either a eurozone continuing on a path towards an ever greater political and economic integration or it will fall back to a number of smaller stronger countries… Though I think the European leaders will do whatever it takes to save the eurozone, hence also the single currency.

ulfnoren · 2012-01-06

.....and I believe a few things as well
1) that the edge of collapse balancing trick the western world is doing certainly will color our lifes also in 2012.
2) that cost focus will become even stronger and in my world the focus will shift from cost of clearing to cost of settlement and that this will cause a paradigm shift
3) Regulatory Changes will be a powerful shaper all across this industry, they will not be greatly coordinated, they will to a great extent hit anything but the target and lead to a massive cost build up and job losses all across the industry but particularly so in the US&UK
4) I think that New Practices will evolve, especially within the fields of derivatives processing, reporting and collateral management.
5. That 2, possibly 3 banks will stop doing sub-custody in the Nordics
I furthermore belive that QPR will end among Top 10 in Premier League, that Sweden will do well in Euro2012 and that paper books will continue to exist!

David · 2012-01-09

The Euro will for sure be an interesting chapter to follow during 2012. All countries that has not ceonverted their own domestic currencies to Euro is proably happy about that right now. My view is that the Euro expanded to fast and with to little integration between the participating countries and with some of their biggest trading partners on the other side of the fence.